All three major ETFs are opening in the red Thursday morning, with QQQ taking the sharpest hit — gapping down -0.91% vs yesterday's close as Treasury yield anxiety and a Trump-Xi summit headline keep risk appetite suppressed. SPY is gapping down -0.48% to 764.09, sitting below both its put wall and max pain level heading into the open, while VIX edges up to 15.97 — a quiet but firm warning sign.
The good news: overnight futures have been rallying off their lows in the final stretch before the bell, with /ES adding +8 points from 08:30 to 08:55 ET and /NQ recovering +48.50 over the same window. That suggests some stabilization, but the cash gap is real and the options structure is skewed negative — dealers are short gamma across SPY and SPX, meaning moves in either direction can extend quickly once the market gets moving.
GEX walls are price levels where dealers hedge aggressively. Price tends to gravitate toward Max Pain and stall near walls.
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