What looked like a clean breakout at the open turned into a session-long fade. SPY opened at 750.90 but couldn't hold there, drifting to 749.62 by midday — now sitting fractionally below its 750 call wall with 0DTE volume running at 74% of total flow.
QQQ told the sharpest story: a 730 open gave way to a 725.52 session low before a partial bounce to 728.11 — the pre-market breakout thesis is under real pressure. IWM is holding marginally above VWAP (290.73 vs 290.52) but price structure shows lower highs and lower lows across all three indexes. The afternoon features a 5-Year Note auction at 13:00 ET that could move rates and reprice risk into the close.
GEX walls are price levels where dealers hedge aggressively. Price tends to gravitate toward Max Pain and stall near walls.
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