The morning bearish playbook landed: SPY briefly touched 731.54 intraday before bouncing to essentially flat on the day, while QQQ carved out a 695.28 low before recovering toward 701. The index tape looks exhausted, not reversed — SPY is trading within $3 of its put wall at 730, and a $50M 0DTE call sweep at 733 just crossed, adding a wild card to the afternoon setup.
Under the hood, the market's internals are giving conflicting reads. NYSE breadth is ugly — advancers trail decliners 1,000 to 1,729 — yet TRIN sits at a suspiciously low 0.40, which typically signals selling without panic-level conviction on the downside. With VIX pinned near 17.90 and the session nearly flat after a wide range, the afternoon may resolve into a tight band rather than a clean continuation in either direction.
GEX walls are price levels where dealers hedge aggressively. Price tends to gravitate toward Max Pain and stall near walls.
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