Opening thesis 3-for-4: SPY and VIX confirm, but IWM breaks the call wall and QQQ lags—bears in the saddle with 90 minutes to prove support holds.
Dealer positioning shows a clear regime shift as options market makers adjust hedges across the curve. The put-call skew has compressed significantly, suggesting institutional players are reducing downside protection.
Watch the key level closely at open — it sits exactly at the intersection of the GEX zero line and overnight VWAP. A clean break above opens the path to the call wall; rejection sends us back toward the put wall.